When has Bayesian analysis really made a difference???

(by Christian Robert)

With Kerrie Mengersen (QUT, Brisbane), we are launching a call for Bayesian “stories”, towards a collective paper/a special issue:

When has Bayesian analysis really made a difference?

Following the publication of “the theory that would not die” by Sharon McGrayne, about how Bayesian analysis contributed to science and the World in general, we [Kerrie Mengersen (QUT, Brisbane) and Christian Robert (Paris-Dauphine)] would like to put together a collection of six-page vignettes that describe real cases in which Bayesian analysis has been the only way to crack a really important problem.
To this end, we are launching a call for one page proposals that address the following questions.

  • What was the big problem to be solved? We mean big.
  • Why was it so difficult to solve statistically?
  • What was the Bayesian resolution?
  • Why couldn’t it be solved by other means? What were the shortcomings of other statistical solutions?
  • What was the overall impact of this Bayesian analysis on the real world?

We will then review those proposals and select the most significant ones towards the production of six page vignettes, aiming them to be published in a special issue or a multiple authored paper of a mainstream statistical journal. The deadline for the submission of a one-page proposal is September 30. It should be sent to Christian P. Robert at bayesianstatistics@gmailcom in pdf format. The final deadline will depend on the journal editor.

Obviously, if you happen to be like me at JSM 2011 this week and have a proposal (or a journal!) in mind, feel free to talk to me about this!

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The Statistics Forum, brought to you by the American Statistical Association and CHANCE magazine, provides everyone the opportunity to participate in discussions about probability and statistics and their role in important and interesting topics.

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